Ukraine strikes a Russian radar and air defense battery in Crimea (located along the north coast of the far eastern portion of Crimea, not far from the Kerch bridge)
Ukraine attacks Kerch and Kavkaz Ports, setting oil tanks on fire
Three ferries used to transport heavy trucks between Port Kavkaz and Kerch have been knocked out
Heavy trucks aren't allowed to use the Kerch bridge, so ferries are the only remaining viable option.
Crimea no longer sells gasoline to civilians, only military
Russians in Crimea will no doubt be delighted that they no longer have to deal with rationing or the uncertainty of fuel availability. Long queues will be a thing of the past.Fuel will be supplied only to state services, he added.
It appears that my prediction that Russians there had better get in the habit of siphoning fuel is coming true and earlier than I thought. And in the near future, only Russian military vehicles will have fuel, so they better be on the lookout.
I have seen videos of Russians either stealing gasoline or being the victims of it. One guy even showed that his whole fuel tank had been removed. That takes some know-how but also a lot of desperation. Without the ability to pay for gasoline, there's going to be a lot more desperate people in Crimea.
It doesn't take a genius to predict that most Russian civilians will opt to leave shortly. Things weren't great before, and they're getting a lot worse. Fortunately for them, the Crimea bridge is still open, so all they have to do to leave is hit the road with whatever fuel they have left or stay and get a front-row seat to a very nasty situation.
