Putin's Invasion of Ukraine

[Hydra009]

Car bomb kills Russian lieutenant general in Balashikha, Moscow region

There are multiple videos of this attack all over Telegram from different vantage points, so it's safe to assume that the killer deliberately recorded the attack and that the bomb was remotely detonated. Also, this happened less than a km away from a previous attack, which casts doubt on the effectiveness of Russian security, which is "stepped up" after such incidents, presumably for a very, very brief amount of time.



Decorated "Hero of Russia" dies in Ukraine

The unit under his command acted professionally, with minimal losses

If true, I certainly see how that would stand out.

protecting the security of the country and the peaceful life of our citizens

He invaded another country and got killed there. He didn't protect anyone. If anything, his actions contributed to the pitiful state of Russia currently - intensifying a miserable war which is now costing Russia dearly and disrupting the lives of civilians living in Russia.

"When The Russian Armed Forces entered the city, civilians were in serious condition due to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but they were very happy to see Russian soldiers," Ochir-Goryaev said.

Out of everything that didn't happen, this didn't happen the most.

everyone supports the course of the supreme commander-in-chief, the serviceman emphasized.

Lol yeah I bet.

He specified that there were 157 people in his assault group, 84 people were involved in the assault on Seversk.

ISW says that assault took 41 months.

Losses were minimal — four people

Almost certainly not true or perhaps the unit was sheltered from much active combat until that settlement was already on the verge of falling, so I encourage them to start supply runs or assault operations along the southern front and see if they can keep that streak (and themselves) alive.

[Cassia]

It is dangerous to be a Russian general. They are fair game for Putin, the Ukrainian military and pissed off Russians. Plus, at the beginning of the war, they were putting relatively high commanders way up close to the front.

[Hydra009]

The way Russia's military is set up, they don't have non-commissioned officers to direct things, so Russian generals often have to micromanage things. They also underestimated the reach of Ukrainian weapons. In 2023, a Russian colonel was killed while mowing his lawn in Belgorod region

[Hydra009]

[Hydra009]

Another day, another refinery: Ukraine strikes Kuybyshevskiy oil refinery in Samara

Ukraine strikes major Russian oil storage hub in Novorossiysk

Ammo depot explodes near Belgorod

A natural gas pipeline burst in Dagestan, causing a massive explosion (no Ukrainian involvement, afaik)

Russia's imitation of Starlink lost control of one of its satellites, which burned up in the atmosphere (also no Ukrainian involvement, this is just good ol' Russian craftsmanship)

Ukraine strikes Chonhar bridge, further complicating Russian logistics

Map of the changed route for the benefit of fellow visual learners:



As you can see, not so great for the Russians. A much larger and much more dangerous route that spends a lot more time on road patrolled by Ukrainian drones. Russian logistics are essentially screwed trying to come to Crimea from the north.

Btw, this is the recommended route published by the Russian ministry of defense. Letting the whole world know where your logistics vehicles will be is probably not the best idea in the world. No doubt this isn't a surprise for the Ukrainians, who are very familiar with the roads of their own country, so I guess there's not much point in hiding it.

The Russian military also bizarrely posted videos of themselves loading the trunks of civilian cars with gasoline, endangering any civilian who might go that route. Because of their careless actions, any civilian cars traveling towards Crimea run the risk of having a Ukrainian drone hit its trunk.

According to Atesh, Russian forces have already evacuated the Kilburn Spit - a small peninsula just southwest of Kherson city on the other side of the river, which allowed the Russians to menace nearby settlements of Kherson, Mykolaiv, and Odesa and to directly attack Ochakiv with artillery. If they leave it for good, it'll be a huge tactical victory for Ukraine.

Without supply, the Russians will have to give up more and more territory without a fight. In time, large areas might be de-occupied, maybe even all of Crimea. I live in hope.

[Hydra009]

I took the liberty of drawing the new Russian land route:



Russian logistics have two options: hug the coast and hope the Ukrainians don't notice you or go a more northernly direction where there's no doubt - the Ukrainians will definitely see you coming and will definitely hit your vehicle.